HBAR :
There are a few very selected projects that you look at and ask yourself how the hell is this project so cheap right now, okay, it’s so fundamentally amazing, like why isn’t it 100 billion 200 billion market capitalization, and finally the answer boils down to the market generally hasn’t caught up yet, or you’re missing something quite important.
Now in the case of hedera hbar, I firmly believe that this project is one of those that basically blows up the competition, but the market just hasn’t caught up with it yet, and today I’m going to show you the reasons why I made the decision to fully embark on this project.
Yes, I’m literally talking about throwing myself all the way in, it’s crazy how much I’ve now invested in this project, and I want to show you again the reasons why.
Okay, so the likes of dot flux link glimmer adom xrp, I’ve now put that in and thrown it all into Hbar okay, so I own a little bit of Hbar right now, it’s going to sound like a lot and it’s a lot, but then again, I’ve pretty much reinvested, all that money in it is about 500,000 Hbar.
I own now I don’t buy more now, it’s like it’s me 100% more settled, than I thought before that, I had about 210,220,000 tokens.
So I bought a little at the moment, the average purchase is for Hbar, is now about 5 cents, which for me is a very good price, a good round number, it’s a little less to be honest with you actually, I had a pretty good timing.
But the reason why I consolidated my portfolio, and this is something that you should all consider, I had 16 altcoins before far too many, so that I could evaluate far too many, I brought that down to 10, okay and obviously the H bar being by far the first one on the right.
Now that because they were bad, or because there was some kind of obvious bad reason or a bad aspect of them, I just decided to reduce them because I couldn’t handle 16 alt coins properly.
Some of them had to leave, and they were just the ones I preferred, I had more conviction in ok.
Now, I went all out on the safest game at that time, okay who was hbar, I believe that Hbar is one of the safest old coins, which I currently own and it was also one of the cheapest at the time, and as you all know, I also like the project.
So that was part of the reason why, but now there are more reasons, why I went all out on HB, you have to understand that in addition to all the amazing factors, in addition to the incredible Governance Council, in addition to the uniqueness of the technology, in addition to all the fundamental partnerships and connections that they have established, which are starting.
Now to get out of the woodwork, in addition to the roadmap, in addition to all this, okay, there is mathematics behind it, and I want to introduce everything to you very briefly.
I’m not going to like giving you some kind of lecture about a*b equals c, it’s boring, so something you all need to understand.
Now personally I want a 20 to 30X on every altcoin, I learned my lesson from the last bullet, it wrecked me, thinking that I owed 50x 100x I owed 50x or 100x yes, you can do that on some old coins.
You can have these games, I’m looking to do a few on maybe old game pieces, but what you can’t do is basically build your wallet around it, unless you like to strictly watch it’s your plate, that’s who you are right, you risk 100% whatever it takes, some of us just need to make money.
Okay, I think a lot of moon boys are going to have a rude awakening in this cycle, because they’re just being unrealistic with their predictions, so for me I’m looking at between 20 to 30X again, but getting this at a 5cent average purchase, from the HB which is what I have, it’s about $1 token for a 20x, it’s $2 for a 40x, and $3 for a 60x.
But the fact of throwing these numbers, is just like f gazi it’s fairy dust, doesn’t really mean all I could say, all you know what I could say hey $10 potential Hbar token, it’s 100x.
But we’re going to put some numbers behind it, we’re going to add weight to $1 $2 and $3 now, if we take into account the offer, which is what you need to make room for around 36.3, I have the chips.
And this is the worst case due, this is what will have to happen at the end of 2025, these figures could reach earlier much more easily, so we have $ 36 billion, for $ 173 billion for, 2 and $ 109 billion for 3.
That’s the size of the market capitalization all right.
So now you can start imagining correctly, we move on to some projects on the market capitalization of coins, and you can quickly browse few projects exceed 73 billion at the moment, I think only two are fundamentally correct or maybe three, if you count usdc.
Okay, so there are not many of them, but in a bull run, it’s a different story, it was 2 years off with the equivalent of the last cycle of 2021, in 2020 2019.
In fact, we still have a long way to go, and there is still a lot to do, so if you don’t think that the H bar could potentially reach 73 billion or 109 billion, this bull run has reached the $2 or 3.
Let me tell you something, that projects have done this in the last cycle, and the cycle before that maybe at the 100 billion level, but they have definitely increased these multiples, because cardano which is going to be at 10 cents, has gone to 3 okay or even worse even crazier 3 cents to 3 cents 100x, turn the market capitalization very quickly.
It has gone from 3 billion, HB at the moment it is about 1.9 billion, so let’s just say that roughly, it has gone from 1.68 it is cardano in May 2020, which again technically speaking is about 12 months, from where we are currently.
If we want to go back in time, the time went from 1.6 billion up, and this is not going to show it correctly 94, was actually close to 100 billion, it’s crazy salana the same market capitalization.
Let’s move on to where HB is pretty much talking, now 1.75 billion, went up to six where are we here 7880 billion, so it may very well happen, and the reason why I am even more confident that this kind of thing will happen.
You know why I think that $ 1, will probably hit easily, it’s simply because we have a lot more money, which is circulating in the market let’s see where we are.
Now you know the global market capitalization okay, we are currently at about $1.5 trillion, most of us expect the market to exceed, which it did in the last cycle.
We have reached about 3 trillion global market capitalization, if we reach the 5 trillion level, it is a 4×5 trillion market capitalization some of us, the most optimistic, expect it to reach 10 trillion.
It’s a six and a half X, so I just want to put a little weight, and perspective on the growth factors, we’re not talking about small money, we’re talking about HB being kind of like at the center of crypto adoption.
The growth of the 3D generation on the web, and the institutional growth, which I think cardano and salana haven’t even seen, in the last cycle, so the fact that we’re talking about complaining about how, how hara can’t 50x, it’s a very real situation hara, is one of those projects like cardano and salana that were sleeping, sort of.
We knew how good they sounded, but when you actually consider all the fundamental aspects of it, and okay in hindsight, all those aspects why not just think about it, and then it goes up in the future.
I wish I just executed now, I’m not trying to convince anyone to buy Hbar that’s not the premise, all I’m trying to say is that I think $3, is actually a feasible price for hbar, and keep in mind 100$9 billion market is the worst case scenario $3 could hit in mid-2025, which would probably come to about a $90 billion market cap.
So everything you know is going to get diluted because of the supply, but that’s basically what you have to take into account as well.
Now, here’s something I want you all to consider, this is what I started doing recently, we just need to put some numbers behind this right, so let’s forget about the 3-digit prediction.
Because again, the prediction at 3 is although it seems incredible, 3 is going to be like a what 60x, for me at 5 cents on average to buy, let’s just get what I want to get right, I want a 20 to 30X, and I’m going to sell no matter what at these levels, okay, I’m going to sell anything, except that it hits like 2024, in which case, I could extend of course 73 billion dollars, let’s work on that 2x for me is a lot of money.
Because a 2X for me, we put in this calculator more, I make a million right, I make a million technically making 975k profit, minus taxes and all that kind of stuff that it will come at the end of the course, but essentially 975 $ 5,000, in for profit.
Okay, that’s a huge $3, would be the cherry on top of $1.5 million, but we’re just going to talk about $2 million, for a second good let’s be more realistic in order to hit a $73 billion cap, or even $2 in prize money.
We have to determine what you know, the H bar will have to be at the different market capitalizations, okay again, let’s reduce this even more, and let’s talk about what percentage dominance should be for hbar, in a global market of 3 trillion.
Which is still there, where we landed the last bull technically 2.9 trillion, and so for the hbar to have for it to reach $73 billion, the correct market capitalization, it will have to have 2.4% of the dominance of the entire market, and that basically means that if the global market capitalization goes to 3 trillion, hadera’s market dominance will have to be 2.4%.
Now, we’ll see why this is actually feasible in a second, but of course, as we go up the stack, it becomes less and less, and less and less up to 10 trillion, why is it less of course, if you have 10 trillion.
We are trying to understand what 73 billion represents from the level, so of course it will be less, if essentially if the market goes like let’s just say a more reasonable level, like 7 trillion.
The H bar will have to reach 1% of market dominance.
Now, I think that’s very reasonable, why?Because speaking from historical information, HB has grown exponentially in terms of its market dominance, and it is maintaining itself like no other old coin that I have seen so far.
If we look at what the market dominance was, before the bull run towards 2020, it was 0.027%.
Now, keep in mind that HB was much less known at the time, much less known and this goes to prove it, it actually increased by 10 times, it increased by 10 times to 0.25%.
Okay at its historical peak, basically when the market peaked, so it was directly caused by one thing, and one thing only the layer a narrative.
Okay and that’s the big unblock, for all the altcoins you hold, that’s when it will peak the most, most of the market will remain weak, a certain narrative will peak and that’s when you know that the H bar peaked and got a dominance of 0.25%, so it went from 0.027 10x to 0.25.
Do you remember that 10x, the current dominance for the scope of 0.19%.
Now it has not barely fallen, it has fallen by 0.06% since it has been high in fact, it has fallen by 0.1%.
Okay this year, so when we talk about a growing project, in terms of strength in the market, that’s what people are always talking about, you know, that the dominance of the Bitcoin market is obviously winning and falling.
It is gaining more market capitalization, it is gaining stronger in the market the hara bar is gaining in the market, the H bar is not only holding, it is gaining it is amazing the growth, unlike any other altcoin I have so far, what it tells me.
It is that I think that HB can most certainly multiply by 10, its dominance of the market during the next bullish series, which will be a correct 1.9%, which is huge, which means 1.9%.
If the global market reaches 4 trillion, we can achieve our goal of a $ 2 token, as you can see, 1.9% ,is a little more than 1.8%, which is 4 trillion, does that make sense, it is very important that we evaluate this kind of thing, and that we have a clear guide.
I suppose you could say, where the project can go now again, it is very important that you know in this case if hara, for example, had a downward trend like this, and it had fallen and that’s only you know maybe just say one or a 2X, or I shouldn’t say a 1x or two or 3x back, that’s fine.
But I wouldn’t be as confident to say that it could 10 times, and I wouldn’t be as confident to say that it’s going to have explosive returns, just put the fact that it’s now gone from an average of 0.027% to 0.19%, which tells me that a lot more people know, it’s a much bigger project.
So I believe that the narrative season of the first layer is coming in the bull run, we are going to see this happen again, it could even be more in this case, if we reach a global market capitalization of 3 trillion, it must reach, 2 market dominance of 4%.
So it has to be 0, 2.4% for us to be at this level at 3 trillion okay, but I think we will most certainly even see a 1.9% bar, H hit somewhere between 5 and 7 trillion.
So again, we could very well see a $3 price tag, for the H bar.
Conclusion :
This is part of the reason why I threw myself completely into this project, I believe that it is the Best Purchase I have made for 2024, 2025.
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